Why is the U.S. shifting its approach to China from decoupling to de-risking?
What is the context?
The U.S. is moving away from its previous policy of decoupling from China and adopting a new approach called de-risking. The EU has also announced its intention to base its approach to China on de-risking. The G-7 summit at Hiroshima has expressed consensus on de-risking.
What is de-risking?
- De-risking is a new approach to US-China relations that aims to reduce the risks posed by China’s economic and military power.
- It is a more nuanced approach than decoupling, which would have involved severing economic ties with China.
- De-risking includes measures such as diversifying supply chains away from China, strengthening domestic industries, and working with allies to counter China’s aggressive behavior.
The United States is shifting its approach to China from decoupling to de-risking for a number of reasons.
- Decoupling would have been too costly. Decoupling would have required the United States to sever economic ties with China, which would have had a significant impact on the global economy. The United States imports a significant amount of goods from China, and decoupling would have led to higher prices for those goods. It would also have led to job losses in the United States, as companies moved production out of China.
- Decoupling would have been difficult to achieve. Decoupling would have required the cooperation of other countries, and it is unlikely that other countries would have been willing to go along with it. China is a major trading partner for many countries, and they are not likely to sacrifice their economic interests for the United States.
- Decoupling would have been counterproductive. Decoupling would have increased tensions between the United States and China, and it would have made it more difficult to cooperate on issues of mutual interest, such as climate change and nuclear nonproliferation.
Why de-risking?
- The US has become increasingly concerned about China’s growing economic and military power.
- China has been accused of unfair trade practices, intellectual property theft, and human rights abuses.
- The US believes that de-risking is necessary to protect its national security and economic interests.
What are the implications of de-risking?
- De-risking could have a significant impact on the global economy.
- It could lead to higher prices for goods and services, as companies move production out of China.
- It could also lead to job losses in the US and other countries that are heavily dependent on China for trade.
- However, de-risking could also help to strengthen the US economy and reduce its reliance on China.
What is the future of US-China relations?
- It is too early to say what the future of US-China relations will be.
- However, de-risking is likely to be a key part of the US approach to China for the foreseeable future.
- The US and China are likely to continue to compete in a number of areas, including trade, technology, and security.
- However, they are also likely to cooperate on some issues, such as climate change and nuclear nonproliferation.
Conclusion
De-risking is a new approach to US-China relations that aims to reduce the risks posed by China’s economic and military power. It is a more nuanced approach than decoupling, which would have involved severing economic ties with China. De-risking includes measures such as diversifying supply chains away from China, strengthening domestic industries, and working with allies to counter China’s aggressive behavior. The implications of de-risking are still unclear, but it is likely to have a significant impact on the global economy. The future of US-China relations is uncertain, but de-risking is likely to be a key part of the US approach to China for the foreseeable future.
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